PDA

View Full Version : 3 Very Live Baseball Dogs and one Under!!


Taxi_Driver
06-17-2006, 07:18 PM
Colorado-Francis +106 at St Louis-Suppan, 5 INNING LINE

Chicago Cubs-Marmol +141 over Detroit-Verlander, 5 INNING LINE

Kansas City-Keppel +178 at Houston-Bucholz, 5 INNING LINE

Cleveland / Miwaukee Under 10 -110

=================================================

If we can hit 2 of 3 with the dogs we make a nice profit. That +178 Royals line is super juicey..

All three dogs have a distinct advantage with the starters but no way do we want the bullpens getting involved. Francis is probably easy to accept, but the other two deserve a little explanation, so:

Marmol performed as well as we could expect last Sunday as a +165 dog at Cincinnati and the guy has earned another shot. Verlander is slightly off form and vulnerable. The Cubs occasionally hit the ball versus right handers and should be inspired after getting whipped yesterday.

The Royals also hit the ball occasionally and got tuned up nicely last night. Heaven knows they "owe" Bobby Keppel more than a decent effort as he has been respectable but needs some support. We won with him on the Run Line earlier this week and move back to him today. There are a couple other things to remember about the Royals, no matter how bad they are or how many games they lose. None of these guys got to the major league level because daddy owned the company. They have played hard since they were 7, 8, maybe 9 years hold in a system that feeds on attrition and survival of the fittest is the rule. In the case of pro versus college teams it is a far narrower gap from top to bottom than we sometimes remember. "On any given day, any one team can beat any other team" was written about college football, but is so much more relevant to pro sports. Maybe ownership of the Royals should be roundly criticized, and I think Ewing Kaufmann is probably spinning in his grave, but the players want to survive the season and the system and will give what they can muster up "on any given day."

For the under that line should be 8.5 with the quality of pitchers so well take the high number.

PicksInfo
06-17-2006, 07:27 PM
Kansas City lost so much at the start of the season and thats the only reason you geting such a juciy line on them, if you smart you understand they arent such a bad team , and from time to time taking them as a big underdog is really smart thing to do , good luck !

Taxi_Driver
06-18-2006, 12:24 AM
Kansas City lost so much at the start of the season and thats the only reason you geting such a juciy line on them, if you smart you understand they arent such a bad team , and from time to time taking them as a big underdog is really smart thing to do , good luck !

That's right, agreed, and there are a lot of intangibles about this game that some won't see crunching the numbers at statfox or covers.

KC had a huge closed door meeting before the last time he pitched, I posted a play on the run line which won that night for this board but KC lost. These guys have not been giving him run production and they are going to be gaming tonite.

But all you can do is put yourself in the best spot before the game and then whatever happens happens........

Taxi_Driver
06-18-2006, 06:24 AM
That's right, agreed, and there are a lot of intangibles about this game that some won't see crunching the numbers at statfox or covers.

KC had a huge closed door meeting before the last time he pitched, I posted a play on the run line which won that night for this board but KC lost. These guys have not been giving him run production and they are going to be gaming tonite.

But all you can do is put yourself in the best spot before the game and then whatever happens happens........

My 3 puppies were slaughtered today, yelping with their little necks slit. That is of course the risk with putting your nuts on the blocks and picking +106, +141, and +178 Dogs. Of course if you win you're a hero and over time all you need is 49% to make a nice living.

That said the regular -110 Under play came in easily and the boxing pushed for 1 - 3 - 1 on the day...

surf-dog
06-18-2006, 06:29 AM
your picks were good and valuable but unfortunately all the dogs lost today. well its hard to predict in interleague games.

i am doggie better too and i have made tons of profit, however, i chose the wrong time to post so everyone is gonna think that i suck. well even with 50% record in my thread i still made some profit coz of the dogs. but i am going to stop posting because i always lose my bets when i tout my plays. **** selling picks....i will just make money from my winnings. only scammers sell picks

Taxi_Driver
06-18-2006, 07:35 AM
your picks were good and valuable but unfortunately all the dogs lost today. well its hard to predict in interleague games.

i am doggie better too and i have made tons of profit, however, i chose the wrong time to post so everyone is gonna think that i suck. well even with 50% record in my thread i still made some profit coz of the dogs. but i am going to stop posting because i always lose my bets when i tout my plays. **** selling picks....i will just make money from my winnings. only scammers sell picks


That is why posting the dobermans burns you cuz you go 50/50 and betting 100 bucks a unit you're up 2 grand for the season but everyone thinks you suck.