Professional Talks about bets world

[Francl]

I am an European and there is more than 20 years that I study the science of the bets world. NOW I DON'T BET.
In collaboration with a programmer I participated in the study of two exclusive systems that they got jackpots in Europe (not for sale) and those two systems were and they continue to be the most effective that I know all over the world.
I arrived at this forum and I saw that most than it is spoken here concerning bets world are nonsenses or sales, but I also saw that the great majority wants help to have some chances and it is those that I want to help with the participation of all that have questions or answers concerning professional techniques.
Now I don't bet, but I am available to answer you any technical question.
Today I don't have more time but I go back soon to continue.

[TheBloke]

There are numerous ways of making excellent money from placing online wagers.

However the chances of any of these methods being sold in ebooks is somewhat slim.

Ultimately if you have a good system, you will almost always make more money using it yourself than you could by selling it to strangers.

[Francl]

How to predict soccer games?
There are a lot of methods and also many softwares, I studied and I tested dozens of the best but all of them end giving weak results.
However an exception exists with more than 30 years.
That mathematical theory of soccer it was a work of the mathematician MacGregor and it was maintained confidential for a long time.
When for a chance I got a copy already had past some years since it was done but however it continued effective and the one that more surprised me was picking unexpected results.
However today a lot of thing changed in the soccer teams as the coach change, players change and also big alterations in the economical situation of the clubs.
This mathematical theory is more effective if used in teams that have not had great alterations in the last three years, therefore it is very effective in teams of secondary leagues.

[iluvabet]

What is the point of your last post? You say you are willing to help and you say there's a method for football prediction but you don't say what it is.

[Francl]

If you want to ask me some thing asks with respect and not with absurd comments.
Remember this, I am not here to please anybody I am here to help as I want and believe that if I want I make to win a lot of money any one that I decide to help.

[Francl]

When you bet in teams that have evident favoritism choose the ones that are in competition for maintaining some place in the table, I want to say that favorite teams but that can lose points are always risk games.
Avoid bets of the type of those in that the result doesn't interfere in the table of classification of the teams, under over, 1st Half, total,... especially if one of the teams is very superior and for that reason it can control the result.
Be careful with the prognostics, free or pay, of some sites very published because they put negative prognostics willfully among the other ones, with that they protect the companies of bets against winners bets in multiple.

[Gerran]

nice discussion :)

[Francl]

Attention with the calculations,
if you have 6 right picks in 9 picks (66%) it doesn't mean that you have profit,
an example: betting $100 for pick in 9 picks, if you have 6 winners with decimal odds of 1.5, 1.4, 1.6, 1.5, 1.2, 1.7, you lose $10.
To compensate this some professionals use the technique "pick advanced base"

[Francl]

Attention with the calculations,
if you have 6 winner picks in 9 picks (66%) it doesn't mean that you have profit,
an example: betting $100 per pick in 9 picks, if you have 6 winners with decimal odds of 1.5, 1.4, 1.6, 1.5, 1.2, 1.7, you lose $10.
To compensate this some professionals use the technique "pick advanced base"


What is a pick advanced base?
it is the most important pick for a series of bets done during one week or even more.
The professional chooses an advanced pick in the time, in other words, a pick that is played only some days later, 7 days or more.
It is a pick rarely superior to 1.2,
this pick becomes the base because any pick bet for those 7 days is bet in multiple with him.
If a pick advanced base of 1.15 was used the odds changed for
1.72 1.61 1.84 1.72 1.38 1.95

[needforspeed2]

very interesting thread

[Francl]

Many of you choose packages of picks only for the winners' percentage but that is completely irrelevant
because even if somebody gets a percentage of picks winner over 55% that doesn't mean guaranteed profit,
see this example,
(decimal odds) 1.8 1.5 1.7 1.9 odds of 4 winner picks in 7 picks (57%), a package of a week of picks,
adding the profit of each pick .8+.5+.7+.9 = 2.9
but as there was 3 wrong picks 3-2.9 = -1
so the result in the end of the week would be a negative result of -0.10
And attention these odds are only for example and for that reason I used high odds for you understand better than even with high odds you need to do calculations before spend your money.In my opinion such high odds are unreal if somebody wants to maintain the same percentage of successes week after week with few alterations.
When you buy picks you should demand that the seller tells you which the percentage for each package of picks and not only the general percentage, that is important for you know if there are consecutive weeks with percentages of winner picks below the referred percentage.

[Francl]

I made a mistake and where I wrote 3-2.9= -1 it should be -.1

[Francl]

Have in attention that great packs of picks force you to bet all of them or then you will have to choose only some among them and that can be exactly the wrong ones.
Maybe the best are the packs with picks for different days, (one pick per day) but if there is more than a pick then it should have an interval of time among them enough for you use profits of the previous.
But attention, everything this only has logic if you use safe picks chosen by professionals that use some method with tested results and it is of the responsibility of each one of you to be careful in the choice.
Don't forget that the bets can be a success of profits but also your ruin.