View Full Version : Free Pick
dbowling
02-22-2005, 06:34 PM
I'm giving a free pick for tonight's games. Bet LSU over Alabama at a pick.
To receive the daily picks, send email as described below:
Receive 3 picks daily for sports betting by email request only. You pay only if at least 2 or 3 of the picks hit according to the line given at time of pick. If 0 or 1 hit. FREE. If 2 hit you pay $10. If all 3 hit you pay $25. I accept egold, intgold, paypal, stormpay. Payment details will be provided up order. Payment due in next 24 hours after last game is played. If no pay, then you can't order picks again. So you see, you have no risk up front. Just pay when they make you money. Be sure to put Picks in subject line of email.
email address to order: bowling@traceroad.net
thanks and happy betting.
xtradeaccount
02-22-2005, 08:38 PM
Dbowling:
I like that pick - I have made a simple observation over the last several weeks which comes from watching NBA/College & NFL/College games over the last few years (versus the spread). No rocket science, but it comes with some simple premises:
1) The book ALWAYS -has- to win (long-term). (If not, there are no Vegas Sportsbooks)
2) The lines have to be designed such that the majority of money (not the majority players per se) bet the wrong side.
3) When you see highly ranked teams, or teams that are clearly better than their opponent either -getting- points or laying what you would consider 'too few' points, something is up:
Examples:
The Last 7-10 days:
#2 Kansas (-3) vs. Texas Tech - Texas Tech wins outright.
#3 Kentucky (-4) vs South Carolina - South Carolina wins outright by 12.
#12 Utah (-1) vs New Mexico - New Mexico wins by 11.
#17 Pittsburgh (+5 1/2) vs Villanova - Villanova wins by 8.
Same thing tonight - #16 Alabama (-1) vs LSU. Take LSU. Just doesn't make sense.
Ranked #16 Alabama team only laying 1 and they beat LSU by 15 earlier this year? I don't think so. #12 Ranked Utah beat New Mexico by 11 at home in their first meeting, they lost by 11 yesterday to the same team.
--XTA
dbowling
02-22-2005, 09:56 PM
Thanks for your observation. I hope this one is right. I'm playing LSU myself.
Any interest in ordering my 3 picks?
xtradeaccount
02-23-2005, 04:55 AM
DBowling:
Good call, buddy. Took it myself, for fun (though I normally only deal with a couple of services).
Interest in your picks - Possibly, but I can't deal with hearing results 'after' the games - If you are willing to post your selections before, or even 5 minutes into the games so we can watch them for a period of 1-2 weeks, if you are really doing 64%, I would be interested.
--XTA
pfk51169
02-23-2005, 05:39 AM
It's an interesting observation that you've made, XTA. I'll have to keep it in mind when making my picks.
Close game but a good call by both of you. I took advantage of your pick. Thanks.
Paul
xtradeaccount
02-23-2005, 05:05 PM
Paul:
Thanks. I am sure it won't last :-) - Actually, I did not include one loser from last week - I think Villanova played ranked UConn, and were only getting 2 points (I thought that was low). Interestingly, Villanova did take them to 2 Overtimes, but then lost by 4.
#7 Duke plays Georgia Tech tonight. Duke beat GT 18 out of the last 19 times. They beat GT by 17 points earlier this year. The line? Duke -1. 1 point? I don't think so.
Take GT.
--XTA
In the last 10 days, for the picks I have watched, this 'observation' has gone 5-1. I am sure this GT will be a loser tonight :-), but hey, let's watch until later in the year and see what happens. (Don't really take GT <smile>).
pfk51169
02-23-2005, 05:58 PM
I was thinking Villanova might fit into your criteria tonight as well. They're favored by -5.5 over a higher ranking Boston College team. If I understand your strategy correctly, Villanova should cover. Won't bet on it, but let's see what happens.
Paul
dbowling
02-23-2005, 07:08 PM
I'll post my three picks for tonight along with an extra:
Georgia to cover +9.5 with Mississippi State
don't be surprised if Ga. even wins
Michigan -9 over Penn State
NBA Phoenix Suns and LA Clippers over 216
The extra Duke will beat Ga. Tech at least 8 pts the line is a pick.
xtradeaccount
02-23-2005, 07:59 PM
Paul:
You are probably right - Though Villanova is ranked #23 in the country, I would probably agree with you - Laying 5 to the #5 team in the country, who is 22-1. This one doesn't seem as 'clear' as the Duke game, though.
Duke is #7 in the country, played a -much- tougher schedule than Boston College, and Georgia Tech is unranked, while Duke has lost once to Georgia Tech in 10 years. On the other hand, Villanova holds the series lead with Boston College 54-27 - The Villanova one seems shady...??
On the other hand, DBowling is probably right, as I mentioned, and Duke will probably woop GT (though the system would say GT! <smile>).
Btw, Duke/Georgia Tech game is down to 'PICK' at Betonsports.com..... Interesting.. money coming in on GT..?
--XTA
darklol
02-23-2005, 10:35 PM
well you know what was funny about this match?
10 hours before pinnacle put +4.5 spread on Duke...
I was crazy not to put money on in
they even offered +7.5 on Duke for 1.6
= I would bet 5000$ on it lol
dbowling
02-24-2005, 02:18 PM
3 for 4 not bad
I thought Loren Roberts was not going to play for Miss State but he did and was the difference.
I'll post todays picks later
Michigan covered
Duke covered
Suns over covered
Georgia didn't cover
xtradeaccount
02-24-2005, 03:24 PM
Dbowling:
2/23 - 3-1 record. Excellent.
I will watch you for a week. If you can consistently produce results, I would be interested in your selections.
--XTA
xtradeaccount
02-24-2005, 03:25 PM
So GT did not work out - Rather that line was set that way because it was supposed to be a close game (tied at the half, and GT down by 3 in the last few mins) - Ahh well.
Villanova DID cover though - Now, including both of yesterday's game - The 'system' is 6-2 over the last 10 days.
--XTA
pfk51169
02-24-2005, 06:08 PM
Nice job dbowling. Good luck today.
Hey, 6-2 is respectable. Duke/GT game could have went either way, and Villanova barely covered. Sometimes the best you can hope for is that you have a chance to win.
Nothing stands out tonight.
Paul
dbowling
02-24-2005, 06:35 PM
Today's picks
Some real tough ones today, but here goes:
Washington State +7 vs Arizona
Arizona State +14 1/2 vs Washinton University
NBA 76ers and Knicks under 200 1/2
Good Luck
dbowling
02-25-2005, 02:37 PM
2 -1 last night total 5-2 since post began
washington state covered against arizona
arizona state covered against washington university
76ers knicks did not go under
dbowling
02-25-2005, 06:34 PM
today's picks:
Portland -10 1/2 over Atlanta NBA
Washington Chicago under 201 NBA
Boston +3 vs Utah NBA
good luck
record 5-2
xtradeaccount
02-26-2005, 06:12 AM
Dbowling:
I am loving it! I did not look at the last 2 days until now, but including yesterday that is 7-3 (70%) :-) I wonder how long that can keep going - Most people who 'say' they are 70% can't keep it for more than a streak, but you are performing, that is a different thing.
I am impressed - Do you do your own handicapping or do you have access to some information for plays?
Also, what types of payment methods can you accept? Paypal or Neteller okay?
--XTA
poolforprofits
02-26-2005, 06:49 AM
From the first post in this thread:
I accept egold, intgold, paypal, stormpay.
dbowling
02-26-2005, 01:48 PM
thanks, I'm going pretty good right now. I have my own system. Can't devulge the secrets. lol
Paypay bowling@traceroad.net
Stormpay bowling@traceroad.net
Intgold 171161
Egold 1557440
I do have a netteller account but have not used it in a while. I'd have to look up my log in information. Might take me a while to find it.
Anyway, yesterday 2-1. total 7-3
today's picks
Arizona +5 vs Washington University
Missouri +10 1/2 vs Texas
Syracuse -9 1/2 vs Providence
have a great day!!
xtradeaccount
02-26-2005, 02:47 PM
Dbowling:
I like your selections today as well and think you will go 2-1 :-). The Arizona GETTING 5 at Washington bothers me? Are you kidding me?! 5 points when Washington barely beat Arizona STATE by 8? Things that make you go hmmmmmmmmmm...
I think your Syracuse pick is nice... We will see..
--XTA
dbowling
02-27-2005, 02:50 AM
I really liked these picks. Syracuse won big. Arizona lost by 8 and Missouri lost by 12, so this is the first losing day for me since post began. 1-2
overall 8-4.
We'll recover tomorrow!!!
xtradeaccount
02-27-2005, 03:45 AM
Interesting, huh? Washington laying 5 to #9 ranked team in the country after they only beat ASU by 8?
Hmmm..
--XTA
dbowling
02-27-2005, 03:04 PM
time to make up for yesterday.
Michigan State -5 1/2 vs Indiana
Fla. +1 vs South Carolina
North Carolina -5 1/2 vs Maryland
Also, I posted record yesterday as 8-4 it is 8-5 since I posted picks to this board. Sorry for the mistake.
good luck today!!!
dbowling
02-28-2005, 12:55 PM
1-2 yesterday 9-7 overall for 56.25%
I'll have some good ones today!!! Posted later today
dbowling
02-28-2005, 06:32 PM
today's picks
Pittsburg- boston college over 133
Air Force -2 1/2 over San Diego State
LA Clippers + 3 1/2 vs Utah Jazz
Good luck
dbowling
03-01-2005, 01:02 PM
2-1 yesterday 11-8 overall 57.9%
Air Force and LA Clippers covered
Boston College couldn't score in a washtub!!!
Today's picks later
dbowling
03-01-2005, 06:31 PM
mississippi state +4 1/2 vs Arkansas
clemson -5 vs virginia tech
Indiana Seattle NBA under 188
good luck
dbowling
03-02-2005, 04:50 PM
1-2 yesterday
a bad day
12-10 overall
picks later today
dbowling
03-02-2005, 06:46 PM
tennessee + 14 vs Kentucky
LSU -2 vs Mississippi
Marquette -2 1/2 vs Houston
Bonus Cincinnati -26 vs Tulane
dbowling
03-03-2005, 12:55 PM
3-0 yesterday, and missed the bonus of Cincinnati vs Tulane
total 14-9 64.2%
Proven over time of 64%
Picks now must be purchased by email
bowling@traceroad.net
Remember, you don't have to pay if at least 2 of the 3 don't hit.
Please read opening thread!!
Look forward to your order of guaranteed picks.
Paypal, stormpay, egold, intgold all accepted.
xtradeaccount
03-03-2005, 05:05 PM
Dbowling: Nice day - 15-11 Overall, not 14-9 (You were 12-10 coming into yesterday, then went 3-1 (including your bonus)), correct? Overall - 57.69%
Still not bad!
--XTA
dbowling
03-04-2005, 02:00 PM
you are correct, sorry for the clerical error. Hopefully we can do some business later. Have a great day!!
poolforprofits
03-04-2005, 05:04 PM
Actually the picks in this thread have gone 16-11. A win percentage of 59.25%.
For some reason the first pick in this thread hasn't been included in your count.
dbowling,
Does your system only work for basketball or does it work for all sports?
dbowling
03-04-2005, 06:44 PM
I use it on all sports, football, baseball, too.
Try ordering some picks and check them out. You have nothing to lose when you pay only after the fact. Thanks for correcting the missed pick. I forgot it.
Dwight
Have a blessed day!!
dbowling
03-07-2005, 12:59 PM
Tournament time this week in NCAA basketball. Order your picks daily. Pay after they score for you.
email bowling@traceroad.net
Put PICKS in subject line
Price $0 if 0 or 1 of 3
$10 if 2 of 3
$25 if 3 of 3
dbowling
03-09-2005, 03:13 PM
Get your picks for the conference tourneys this week. ACC, SEC etc.
order the day of the first game!
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