View Full Version : I have the feeling that 3 threads are run by the same person
MadMaxy
02-08-2009, 03:04 PM
Sorry, but reading through the threads after I was not browsing in this forum for about 3 weeks, I feel that minimum 2, but maybe 3 threads are run by the same person, under different usernames.
I felt this not only after reading the threads but clicking on the links in their threads, which goes to their sports services sales/results pages.
Just 1 hint: all these services claim impossibly high strike rates (winning tips rate).
There are other similarities too... both in the threads and the sites...
Nobody else has this feeling?
Mods, can you check please the thread starters IP-s (I won't give any names now, maybe I'm wrong).
I admit that I had more than 1 username in this whole forum (and I guess thousands had and have) but I never posted about the same subject (like free picks, and link to my own sports-betting site) in the same period of time using 2 usernames!
jeffstar
02-09-2009, 12:22 AM
Hi. I count at least four. Thanks for bringing this to my attention. I have been following one of the services. It seems that when I purchase the plays they go 50-50. When I stop buying the plays the records are all wins. Either this is just a coincidence or I am the only sucker buying the plays. It seems strange though because the tournament is posted before the game goes off. I might just be a little paranoid, but with such a great record why is my record only winning 50%? Strange indeed! I think if I stop buying the plays the record will begin to show all wins again and then I will be mad I stopped buying them. When I buy them again the winning stops. I must say they have me hooked!
MadMaxy
02-09-2009, 01:03 AM
Hi. I count at least four. Thanks for bringing this to my attention. I have been following one of the services. It seems that when I purchase the plays they go 50-50. When I stop buying the plays the records are all wins. Either this is just a coincidence or I am the only sucker buying the plays. It seems strange though because the tournament is posted before the game goes off. I might just be a little paranoid, but with such a great record why is my record only winning 50%? Strange indeed! I think if I stop buying the plays the record will begin to show all wins again and then I will be mad I stopped buying them. When I buy them again the winning stops. I must say they have me hooked!
All these services are scammers.
All experienced sports bettors know that in the long run better records than 62-64% are totally impossible to maintain (anyways, anything at 60% or better at -110 average odds are absolutely stellar capping performances!!!).
These "services" have fake stats, according to which have better strike rates than 80%. Total BS!
But one thing which always make me shake my head is that some people always buy from these scammers, which scammers have also a lot more expensive picks than those of a honest, established site.
Nobody should ever pay more than $30 for a single pick anyways, no matter of capper, service and sport.
And even that much ($30) only if that capper or service has many years of verifiable, real, good long term winning records.
Scammers are making big money selling way overpriced picks to a few folks, and changing sites likes others change their underwear.
Honest and established cappers are making big money selling reasonable priced picks to a lots of folks, and of course from the same site year after year after year...
MadMaxy you are a bit sceptical 60-70 is normally.... you must look to odds e.g. laying with avarege 50.0 odds we could get a strike rate of around 95% but one loss could destroy all bank :)
MadMaxy
02-09-2009, 06:11 PM
MadMaxy you are a bit sceptical 60-70 is normally.... you must look to odds e.g. laying with avarege 50.0 odds we could get a strike rate of around 95% but one loss could destroy all bank :)
In my example I was talking about average -110 (american style average odds).
For example betting on basketball pointspread, or all total bets.
Betting all the time on moneyline on favs around -140 one needs to have around 75% win rate to make the same money that the one playing on average -110 odds having 60% win rate. Of course this is a very superficial approximation.
Anyways, botton line is that professional bettors and honest cappers say that they had a good season if they doubled their bankroll (100% profit).
This means about 15% average profit per month in one sport per year (like NBA or MLB).
Of course, if you have a $50,000 bankroll, you can make a very good living on that...
kingmod
02-09-2009, 06:32 PM
pm me the threads/services/usernames that you are talking about and i will look into it
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