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I am setting up a service myself & after seeing some of the absolute carp on here I really don't have much to compare myself to. I am not here to SPAM, only time will show this. I will give the tips out, each with a detailed explanation why they have been chosen. I do not guarantee anything & can not be responsible for any losses other than that of myself.
With some of these tipster claiming big "Inside tips", it's just such a blatant lie I don't know why they bother. I just cannot believe they have the cheek to make tips without any reason behind them. As stated previously I will not feed you BullSh!t about how I will make you rich, but if a tip loses you will beable to see that at least I put effort into finding that horse as opposed to someone just picking a name out of a hat.
All my tips are value horses (in my opinion). I have been a punter for years but have only been seriously involved for the past 2. I will try my best to answer any questions posted here. Tips will be updated well before the race so you can see our honest performance.
I know that countless tipsters make up past results. I am not here to do that. Here was todays, the only reason I am giving this is because it was second & so in no way would I lie about a horse that didn't win. It is just an example of what you can expect (Selection in Bold):
In the 6-25 @ Fontwell, OPTION MONEY is unlikely to run after winnning yet again last night, leaving this looking very much like a race that DONALDSON could win on his return from a near 6 month layoff. Although not given much to do when winning last time, improvment is very much on the cards from this one, and under champion jockey AP McCoy, should start as favourite. However, SHORE THING also won easily last time, leaving the impression that better things may lie ahead. I would expect this one to be fully tuned up for this after that confidence booster, and should take all the beating under Paddy Brennan. Market confidence for hurdling newcomers MASLAK and in paticular SILVER BLUE should be noted, but the value surely lies in taking on DONALDSON, for whom race fitness may be an issue, with SHORE THING.
Message for 22/8/08: I would have liked to start with a winner. instead, as you saw; a close 2nd today. Yes, well these things do happen, at least he was gallant in defeat and not a dismal non-trier although my money has still gone west! I did state that DONALDSON could find this a nice opening, with McCoy going out of his way to get there for the ride, but I felt there was more value in the likely price of our selection.
Tomorrow I will be nominating BY THE EDGE (6-20) Hamilton, as the bottomless ground should be ideal for this mudlover, and a good claimer is employed to offset the 6lb penalty for winning a similar race at Beverley. KINGS COLLEGE BOY is likely to be a non-runner after appearing today, and the one challenging hardest might just be Jim Goldie`s ROTHESAY DANCER, admittedly a tough old servant, but another that may just want better ground than the forecast Hamilton bog.
On the same card, the opening race (5-50) looks to be a trappy maiden, with many chances including HAMEILDEAME, HAPPY ANNIVERSARY and MISS SCARLET. the first two are starting to look as though they have had thier chances, while MISS SCARLET was 1 1/2 lengths 2nd of 6 and the form looks hard to assess. Bryan Smart is always a trainer to tread carefully with at northern tracks, and POSITIVITY, placed in both starts to date, may be able to shed Maiden status at the third time of asking. This is a tentative selection in a competitive race and I would not recommend wading in at short odds however and if the price is too short to represent value, then a watching brief is advised.
Another disheartening second today, with BY THE EDGE denied by Jim Goldies ROTHESAY DANCER. Unfortunately POSITIVITY failed to turn out. No worries though as I will be seeking compensation today with TUNGSTEN STRIKE each way in the 2-45 at Goodwood. 2nd to no less than YEATS in the Yorkshire Oaks, albeit a distant 2nd, this one looks to be in good heart. SANBUCH and BAUER, the Luca Cumani trained duo finished 1st and 2nd last time out, and both have strong claims, but this will push out the price of TUNGSTEN STRIKE & hence produce some value for a horse that should go close.
Also be aware of UBENKOR, in the 2-50 at Beverley. Slightly higher in the weights than when scoring for us all last time out at Catterick, but more than capable of following up with a generally progressive profile. There may be more to come, and the nature of the race suggests a wide open betting heat which should be priced at around 3/1 the field.
Traditionally I would say that I am not so much of a "Tipster". I don't have a betting bank as such - I just back each horse at my local coral. So far this month has been under average.
I really don't want to say any specific previous results because they cannot be used to predict future outcomes. Still I would like to achieve winners above 5 out of every 10 bets. Unfortunatley I personally don't bet levelstakes. I would estimate that my POT would also be above 50% & so average "Points" profit a month to be set at around 20.
As you can see there have been 2 very unlucky to start, but sh!t happens. Also I would definatley recommend that the EARLY PRICE is taken as opposed to SP. As I say, I am the sort that prefers to bet with cash over the counter so I suppose if you were using betfair or any other exchange you would be likely to make more.
Hope this helps with any queries you may have had. If there's anything else just let me know.
TUNGSTEN STRIKE was as game as they come when battling back to get up on the line. The poor run from BAUER yesterday had clearly failed to support the form of SANBUCH`s win last time up, and that, added to the fact that BAUER did not run, served to shorten TUNGSTEN STRIKE to 11/4. This meant as an a each way bet, it was a no go, but hopefully you all got on at the still fairly generous price available, and enjoyed a win. UBENKOR was not so successful in his follow up bid at Beverley, but Bryan Smart`s horse remains a contender from this higher mark and there should be more races to be won with him this term.
On the same subject VISTERRE goes tomorrow (3-40, Beverley) for this shrewd trainer, and bids for a hat-trick. Despite the competitive nature of this race, he cannot be left out of calculations.
Competition breeds bigger SPs and MAIMOONA should represent excellent value in the 2-45 at Goodwood. MASADA, TEMPLE OF THEBES and SUPERDUPER all have claims, as does Jeremy Noseda`s MESSIAS DA SILVA, despite needing to bounce back from a poor run last time. This should make this an attractive betting medium, and I would recommend an bet on MAIMOONA at odds that should be inflated due to the competitive nature of this race. SUPERDUPER was a length ahead of MASADA last time at Windsor, but Brian Meehans horses are now running out of their skin, and I see every chance of a reversal today, at any price bigger than 6/1 MASADA would appeal as an each way selection, but for the winner today I must return to MAIMOONA, from the Willy Haggas stable, who was successful in a better class race than this last time out.
Just an edit: MASADA shouldn`t beat MAIMOONA, even if it reverses form with SUPERDUPER, which is likely with the amazing Richard Hughes in the saddle. You will never ever see me tip a horse ridden by Richard Hughes that is a promise (lol).
Again unfortunatley the bookies seem just to be having fun with cutting the price. 2/1 now. 9/4 Betfair. There is this constant trouble with non runners & unfortunatley although each non runner makes the horses chances of winning higher, they have an effect on winning odds.
Horse Racing Tips - Detailed FormBook Picks
Re: Horse Racing Tips - Detailed FormBook Picks
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